Mavericks vs Warriors odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Feb. 6 game predictions from model on 73-44 roll

The Golden State Warriors and Dallas Mavericks are locked in a major Western Conference matchup on Saturday night. The game also represents a rematch from Thursday evening, with the Warriors winning comfortably on the back of an opposition offensive effort. Golden State is 12–10 this season, with Dallas sitting 9–14 in 2020–21. The Warriors are 4-5 on the road, and the Mavericks are just 2-7 at the American Airlines Center.

Tip-off is at 8:30 pm. ET in Dallas. The William Hill Sportsbook lists Dallas as a four-point home favorite, stable from the opener, while more points or Vegas total points will be counted, with the latest Warriors vs. Mavericks odds at 231 . Before making any Mavericks vs. Warriors pics, be sure to check out betting advice from NBA predictions and SportsLine’s proven computer model.

The SportsLine projection model emulates every NBA game 10,000 times, and last season returned more than $ 5,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks. The model has been around $ 8,100 in the last two-plus seasons. Dating back to last season, it is also on an astonishing 73–44 roll on top-rated picks against the spread.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Mavs. You can go to Sportsline to see its likes. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for the Mavs vs. Warriors:

Why can the warriors cover:


Golden State dominated the first matchup between the two teams on Thursday, to great effect from a small-ball approach. The Warriors were able to exploit the Mavericks in space, and Kyle Aubrey Jr. including seven 3-pointers, exploded for a career-high 40 pointsWhile the 31-point margin of victory is not a realistic baseline, the Mavericks are struggling right now, having lost seven of the last eight matches.

From there, Dallas is the second-worst rebounding team in the league, grabbing only 47.5 percent of the available rebounds, and the Mavericks rank 25th in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Dallas also struggled to keep opponents away from the free throw line and, offensively, the Mavericks are the fourth-worst this season (56.2 percent) and in the final 3-point shooting (33.2 percent).

Why Mavericks Can Cover:


Dallas is undoubtedly struggling, but the team has a elevated baseline. Luka Doncic is one of the best offensive creators in the NBA, averaging 27.2 points and 9.4 assists per game, and the Mavericks have strong secondary options. As a team, the Mavericks only trade on 12.2 percent of possessions, a top-three in the NBA and a top-10 free throw creation rate in Dallas as well.

In this matchup, Dallas faces a team at Golden State that is strongly below-average on the glass, ranking in the bottom three in both offensive rebound rate (22.8 percent) and defensive rebound rate (71.6

How to make Mavericks vs Warriors pics:


Sportsline’s model is bending under simulation with a total of 226 points. The model also states that all values are on one side of the spread. You can get that pick on Sportsline.percent). Finally, Golden State ranks last in the NBA preventing their opponents from shooting free throws, and the Mavericks should be able to exploit that weakness.

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